Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 11.190506 12.431035 13.766596 15.313716 17.059485 18.971726 21.229417
2025-08-24 9.202356 10.876782 12.809324 15.214240 18.139945 21.600275 26.027275
2025-08-31 7.809203 9.729536 12.081798 15.197066 19.247042 24.378220 31.441873
2025-09-07 6.919192 9.030115 11.755910 15.573634 20.846190 27.964774 38.462483
2025-09-14 6.055519 8.224389 11.155667 15.467166 21.749162 30.728285 44.826120
2025-09-21 5.305306 7.460046 10.490834 15.146034 22.261524 32.970491 50.779225
2025-09-28 4.753672 6.897589 10.024554 15.022186 23.007594 35.620602 57.770937
2025-10-05 4.459063 6.669122 10.007903 15.555528 24.816517 40.166200 68.647945
2025-10-12 4.190513 6.443840 9.959905 16.016633 26.550649 44.824012 80.565104
2025-10-19 3.882688 6.119527 9.712044 16.104386 27.643033 48.510795 91.365452
2025-10-26 3.572493 5.756924 9.357880 15.956950 28.281287 51.444805 101.229689
2025-11-02 3.287019 5.405838 8.983454 15.721365 28.711240 54.025938 110.839032
2025-11-09 3.019519 5.066117 8.604389 15.451028 29.075421 56.610571 121.179161
2025-11-16 2.795434 4.781587 8.294899 15.275104 29.604156 59.624858 133.176834
2025-11-23 2.611164 4.550949 8.059670 15.213488 30.356572 63.238436 147.424646
2025-11-30 2.498433 4.439953 8.034249 15.563611 32.025045 69.152761 168.800841
2025-12-07 2.338956 4.226909 7.792987 15.441455 32.643702 72.765267 185.076140
2025-12-14 2.171733 3.984531 7.471396 15.111827 32.746349 75.163975 198.629194
2025-12-21 2.042257 3.804149 7.255429 14.982965 33.292577 78.741931 216.457291
2025-12-28 1.989757 3.770987 7.333705 15.511459 35.485204 86.918014 250.315093
2026-01-04 1.933117 3.724277 7.378747 15.969087 37.573462 95.222134 287.067022
2026-01-11 1.847108 3.609994 7.269946 16.055355 38.730395 101.189053 317.914653
2026-01-18 1.748147 3.460802 7.072534 15.907727 39.253741 105.453139 344.177117